Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 68.021325 76.861209 85.902747 95.809234 106.326344 117.128907 129.033709
2025-11-02 54.452010 67.132815 80.694924 96.143196 113.125025 131.108935 151.482112
2025-11-09 45.569275 60.207654 76.409603 95.392758 116.768704 139.868512 166.501579
2025-11-16 39.243895 55.272312 73.567720 95.528718 120.754546 148.459758 180.843788
2025-11-23 33.549087 50.396004 70.216012 94.555154 123.023503 154.742018 192.260759
2025-11-30 29.978789 47.691656 69.084849 95.860752 127.643008 163.459413 206.219836
2025-12-07 27.076585 45.517885 68.347347 97.419344 132.379375 172.168941 220.051314
2025-12-14 23.432830 42.032332 65.718886 96.465990 133.964665 177.094375 229.428926
2025-12-21 19.874470 38.315872 62.531330 94.598486 134.269483 180.377146 236.782443
2025-12-28 18.862224 38.046057 63.712967 98.106833 141.010510 191.174347 252.824812
2026-01-04 17.343309 36.899804 63.638970 99.951259 145.666659 199.469590 265.924146
2026-01-11 15.148026 34.540376 61.793346 99.415308 147.307318 204.112784 274.690312
2026-01-18 13.135914 32.288408 59.994279 98.885068 148.941726 208.770504 283.530702
2026-01-25 11.669059 30.757220 59.100964 99.471426 151.925975 215.027106 294.254594
2026-02-01 9.967290 28.635309 57.234982 98.662164 153.069124 218.993390 302.205477
2026-02-08 8.700452 27.113000 56.137375 98.808728 155.370350 224.328792 311.761538
2026-02-15 7.299204 25.152730 54.269803 97.815064 156.140169 227.737899 318.966999
2026-02-22 6.562029 24.365858 54.118993 99.145920 159.885579 234.792533 330.554208
2026-03-01 5.946037 23.741704 54.174338 100.734111 163.947367 242.229191 342.601328
2026-03-08 4.903550 22.051198 52.459987 99.762657 164.607729 245.406633 349.458101
2026-03-15 3.837423 20.074824 50.157844 97.859448 163.968230 246.909230 354.234148
2026-03-22 3.744556 20.414185 51.654871 101.434620 170.612543 257.552559 370.186142
2026-03-29 3.403308 20.074545 51.994586 103.313755 174.986413 265.340359 382.648103